US President Joe Biden will lose to former President Donald Trump in a potential presidential race in 2024, a new poll revealed.
The new Emerson College survey shows Trump leading Biden 44 percent to 39 percent in a head-to-head hypothetical matchup.
Another 12 percent of expected voters said they plan to vote for someone else.
Biden’s support has waned, somewhat, since May, when the same poll found Trump notching 44 percent support in a 2024 race against Biden, whose support has dropped from 42 percent in May to 39 percent in late June.
Some Democrats have begun questioning whether Biden should seek a second term in the White House despite the fact that the incumbent wants to run again.
Trump has repeatedly hinted at a potential 2024 run, though he hasn’t yet committed himself to another campaign and some Republicans remain skeptical that he will actually move forward with a comeback bid.
Meanwhile, Trump dominates the field of potential candidates for the 2024 Republican presidential field, according to the poll.
Some 55 percent of voters said they would support Trump in the 2024 Republican primary, while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is a distant second. DeSantis, a rising star within the party, garnered the support of 20 percent.
No other Republican scores double-digit support in a hypothetical primary matchup. Former Vice President Mike Pence notches 9 percent, while every other prospective candidate in the poll fails to clear even 5 percent support.
On the Democratic side, 64 percent of voters say that Biden should be the party’s 2024 nominee, while 36 percent say he should not be.
Trump has said that only a doctor's call could prevent him from participating in the 2024 presidential race. The poll underscores his hold over Republican voters.
Trump, who believes that the election was rigged by the Washington establishment in favor of Joe Biden, has alleged that the 2020 election was “the greatest Election Hoax in history.”
Analyst: ‘A year and a half is an eternity in politics’
An American political analyst and activist said both Biden and Trump have their challengers, and that “a year and a half is an eternity in politics.”
“Although the polls show Trump beating Biden in 2024, a year and a half in politics is an eternity. We barely can predict what will happen in a month, let alone a year and a half for primaries,” Myles Hoenig told Press TV on Friday.
“At the present, things are not looking good for either of them. Trump is in legal jeopardy if the DOJ acts on the January 6 Hearings as well as the state of Georgia indicting him,” Myles Hoenig told Press TV on Friday.
“Trump also has rivals, just as fascistic as Trump but far more intelligent, just as devious, and with the proven track record with the electorate. That is basically DeSantis, but others are in the wing,” he added.
“Biden’s positive numbers will probably never improve substantially, just like Trump’s. His inability to rally his base around him in any meaningful way is not a good start. Scaring voters against Trump is not a winning strategy. Democrats, too, have their vultures, namely Hillary Clinton. Whether she takes him on or not, it is more likely that they’ll try and convince him to drop out, rather than have an internal war, as it doomed Carter in 80 with Ted Kennedy's primary challenge,” he noted.
“Voters usually go with pocketbook issues when going to the polls. Right now we are heading into a recession and that obviously hurts the incumbent. Biden has not followed through on any of his campaign promises and has shown to be as deaf to people’s needs as ever he has been. His support of tens of billions of dollars for his proxy war against Russia comes easily, not just for him but his Democrats in Congress, but eliminating student debt, for example, is considered far too expensive, if it’s considered at all,” he stated.
“Trump has not just a loyal following, albeit a minority of registered voters, but he also has the muscle, like Hitler’s brown shirts, as well as strategically placed officials who control states’ election processes,” he said.
“Again, a year and a half is far too distant to make predictions but at the moment, the Democrats have some serious decisions to make,” he concluded.